Sunday, July 21, 2013

Statistical Research and the Ethics Behind It




Following the Age of Reason, the concept of ethics has virtually dominated the academic circle. Strict ethical standards are put in place to combat the rise of unethical research. Nurses have to abide the ethics of their fields, as biologists too have to  strictly follow their ethical code when conducting researches. This is the general rule for every field, and the same standard of ethics applies when it comes to the world of statistics and data analysis. Statisticians have to work with a large number of data sets, and given that most data set require a computer program to run them, statisticians can manipulate the data so that the outcome they want matches with their original prediction. 

Siddhartha Kalla mentions, "It is relatively simple to manipulate and hide data, projecting only what one desires and not what the numbers actually speak..." (2010). Statistics is a game of numbers, and an effective correlation cannot be established if a statistical program does not suggest a good correlation between one number and another. For instance, the Heritage Foundation, a conservative foundation, asks its statisticians to conduct a research on how the Americans view the State of Israel. It is well known that the Foundation has a pro-Israeli philosophy, and one can easily guess that the Foundation's initial intention should be to present a message that speaks on behalf of the State of Israel. However, as statisticians run their data, the data might suggest otherwise. Given this situation, statisticians do still have control over the data and they can manipulate however they want.



Such problems are mostly seen in the areas of public service and government. Statisticians,  like most other people, also have deeply-held political beliefs. For many statisticians who work for the state or federal government, political parties, interest groups, and other politically active groups, the interest of their employer could easily outweigh the ethical interest of statistics.

At times of elections, it is more likely that the Department of Labor's job comes with a positive message. Greg Hunter, who blogs for a watchdog group, mentions that the Department of Labor always uses the data of seasonally adjusted jobs while producing a positive job report. According to him, "seasonal adjustment jobs are created out of thin air and are not really there for people" (Hunter, 2011). He also mentions that the unemployment rate has been increasing in the U.S, contrary to President Obama's claim that it is decreasing. We cannot easily discredit Hunter's claim, since the combination of numbers with politics can easily allow the latter to gain substantial benefits. 


I personally believe that statisticians who work for a politically active group have a higher chance of manipulating data. Extreme political polarization symbolizes today's political culture, and this has further developed into a culture in which a neutral  data can be easily transformed into a  biased one. Bureaucrats are also highly immune to engage in such activities, as what they report determines their staying in power. This does not mean that bureaucrats and  political active people have always reported biased news, but their chance of doing so is much higher than other statisticians who do not work for a politically active group. It is also imperative to remember that  the Census Bureau employs many statisticians, and it has to be noted that those statisticians have no interest in manipulating the data, given that their job has a neutral outlook. 



Such unethical acts are not only limited to political areas, but a telephone company can also present a data that can help to get more customers. If the company carries out a survey to learn about customer satisfaction, but it only picks 20 customers to participate in the survey. The participant of 20 customers is not statistically significant, so the conclusion of the survey cannot be trusted. Encouraged by private interests and corporate profits, anybody can do it. So it is very essential for statisticians to embrace the virtue of ethics before they abide by the unethical policy of their employer. 

Therefore, there are many areas in which statisticians can engage in unethical acts. But every statistician has to remember the fact that the conclusion they draw from a data set can affect the lives of many people. The right conclusion made by an epidemiologist or a bio-statistician can prevent the spreading of diseases. Similarly, government statisticians and corporate statisticians have to report what the numbers suggest, not what their employers would have wanted the numbers to suggested. This means that the proper evaluation and interpretation of numbers will lead us toward the truth,  which is the only goal of statistical research. 





References 

Hunter, Greg. "9% Unemployment Rate is a Statistical Lie | Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog." Real News from Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog: Economic News and Breaking News Reports. N.p., 2 July 2011. Web. 22 July 2013. <http://usawatchdog.com/9-unemployment-rate-is-a-statistical-lie/>.

Kalla , Siddharth . "Ethics in Statistics - Avoid Mispresentation of Data in Research." Immunizing Against Nonsense - ...and making better brains for science. N.p., 16 Apr. 2010. Web. 22 July 2013. <http://explorable.com/ethics-in-statistics>.




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